Introduction
Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a complex and heterogeneous autoimmune disease characterised by progressive fibrosis of the skin and internal organs. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a common manifestation of SSc and the leading cause of death in patients with SSc.1 A decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) in patients with SSc-ILD is associated with an increased risk of mortality.2 3 Although the course of SSc-ILD is variable,2 4 risk factors for decline in FVC have been identified. These include short SSc duration,5 male sex,6 elevated inflammatory markers7 and progression of skin fibrosis.8 Diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) has been identified as a risk factor for decline in FVC in some but not all studies.9 10
Patients with diffuse SSc and risk factors for rapid progression of ILD are typically given immunosuppressants to address underlying inflammation. However, since inflammation and fibrosis can coexist early in the course of SSc-ILD, these patients may also benefit from antifibrotic therapy. Early treatment to stabilise lung function and improve outcomes is an important aim of the management of SSc-ILD.11 Recent studies have investigated the efficacy of particular therapies in patients with dcSSc and specific risk factors for progression of SSc-ILD, including early disease.12–14
Nintedanib is an intracellular inhibitor of tyrosine kinases that has antifibrotic and anti-inflammatory effects that inhibit pathways involved in fibrosis.15 In the SENSCIS trial conducted in a broad population of subjects with SSc-ILD, nintedanib reduced the rate of decline in FVC (mL/year) over 52 weeks versus placebo by an average of 44%.16 In this post-hoc analysis, we investigated the rate of decline in FVC over 52 weeks, and the effect of nintedanib on the rate of decline in FVC, in subjects in the SENSCIS trial who had risk factors for rapid decline in FVC at baseline.